Monday, January 3, 2011

Polar bears may not be walking on thin ice afterall

Scientists from several institutions, including the U.S. Geological Survey and the University of Washington, have found that if humans reduce greenhouse gas emissions significantly in the next decade or two, enough Arctic ice is likely to remain intact during late summer and early autumn for polar bears to survive.



When you think of polar bears, do you think of those cuddly-sweet soda-swilling ones on ads around the holidays? Or maybe stark images of a species barely hanging on with their icy habitat disappearing in a warming climate. Polar bears were added to the threatened species list in 2008.


The bears depend on sea ice to hunt seals. Without that ice, they can lose about two pounds a day. And that sea ice is vanishing. Projections show vast areas could be lost within a decade, and far more after that.
But those projections are based on greenhouse gas emissions continuing as usual. Now a new study by scientists at several institutions asks: What would happen if the greenhouse gas emissions are reduced?
The researchers' computer models show there is no 'tipping point' -- no unstoppable loss of summer sea ice when warming reaches a certain threshold. They say their findings offer a hopeful message: If humans cut greenhouse gas emissions significantly in the next decade or two, enough arctic ice is likely to remain intact during late summer and early autumn for polar bears to survive.
So it seems polar bears may not be doomed at all -- if humans "polarize" to help.

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